Michael D. Swaine

Senior Associate
Asia Program
Swaine is a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and one of the most prominent American analysts in Chinese security studies.
 

Education

PhD, AM, Harvard University
BA, George Washington University 

Languages

Japanese; Mandarin Chinese

Contact Information

 

Michael Swaine is a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and one of the most prominent American analysts in Chinese security studies. Formerly a senior policy analyst at the RAND Corporation, Swaine is a specialist in Chinese defense and foreign policy, U.S. –China relations, and East Asian international relations. He has authored and edited more than a dozen books and monographs and many journal articles and book chapters in these areas, directs several security-related projects with Chinese partners, and advises the U.S. government on Asian security issues. He received his Ph.D. in government from Harvard University.

  • America's Challenge
    Washington May 31, 2011
    America's Challenge: Engaging a Rising China in the Twenty-First Century

    As the world’s predominant political, economic, and military force, the United States faces a significant challenge in responding to China’s rising power and influence, especially in Asia. This challenge will require more effective U.S. policies and a reassessment of America’s fundamental strategic assumptions and relationships.

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  • Taiwan Elections
    In The Japan-U.S. Alliance and China-Taiwan Relations January 29, 2009
    Sino-American Crisis Management and the U.S.-Japan Alliance

    An assessment of the degree to which Washington and Beijing are willing or able to implement crisis management principles like maintaining direct channels of communication and preserving military flexibility.

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  • Washington July 16, 2007
    Assessing the Threat: The Chinese Military and Taiwan's Security

    Bringing together experts from the U.S. and Taiwan, Assessing the Threat provides a comprehensive look at the dangers of military escalation in the Taiwan Strait, the latest advances in capabilities of the People’s Liberation Army, and China’s security relationship with the United States and the Asia-Pacific.

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  • Washington December 4, 2006
    Managing Sino-American Crises: Case Studies and Analysis

    Sensitivities and suspicions between Washington and Beijing have heightened as China’s global power and influence have grown. Arguably, this new international order could increase the chances of a political-military crisis—or perhaps outright conflict—between the two powers.

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  • Strategic Asia 2005-06: Military Modernization in an Era of Uncertainty September 30, 2005
    Military Modernization in Taiwan

    Taiwan’s military is clearly modernizing and will improve in the near- to mid-term. A reorientation away from an army-centric focus has led to such improvements as joint warfighting capabilities among branches of the military and improvements in missile defense systems, front-line military units, and naval defense capabilities.

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  • EastBridge June 30, 2005
    Managing Relations with the United States

    Chen Shui-Bien focused excessively on electoral politics in Taiwan, allowing them to trump a careful consideration of the long-term strategic importance of its delicate relationship with the United States.

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  • The Okinawa Question and the U.S.-Japan Alliance March 25, 2005
    U.S.-China Relations and the Implications for Okinawa

    An examination of the broad context of U.S.-China relations, highlighting both the current strengthened foundation for cooperation that exists between the two countries and the continued presence of factors that could produce confrontation and even conflict in the future.

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  • Carnegie July 21, 2002 Washington, D.C.
    Ballistic Missiles and Missile Defense in Asia
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  • RAND Corporation January 1, 2000
    Interpreting China's Grand Strategy

    The book reveals why managing the rise of China constitutes one of the most important challenges facing the United States in the early 21st century.

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  • March 28, 2013 Washington, D.C.
    China, America, and the Shifting Balance of Prestige

    Richard Nixon’s 1972 decision to normalize relations with the Peoples’ Republic of China changed the global political balance in deep and lasting ways. While today’s U.S.-China relationship—a direct result of that groundbreaking trip—is in a place few could have imagined in 1972, it faces many difficult challenges in the coming years.

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  • U.S. Pivot
    December 14, 2012 Washington, D.C.
    A Critical Assessment of U.S. Rebalancing to Asia

    The Obama administration argues that the realignment of American military might and political focus is not meant to counter a more assertive China, but to refresh relationships with allies and to maintain regional stability.

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  • October 12, 2012 Beijing 中文
    U.S.-China Relations in a Year of Political Transition

    The heated U.S. presidential election, coinciding with China’s once-a-decade political transition, has led to increased scrutiny of U.S.-China bilateral relations.

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  • July 13, 2012 Washington, D.C.
    The Prospects and Challenges of Cross-Strait Relations

    With the upcoming U.S. presidential election and the 18th Party Congress in China, both countries are facing an important political year. The political climate in the region is influenced by a number of factors, including both countries' relationships with Taiwan.

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  • April 17, 2012 Beijing
    Future Challenges for U.S.-China Relations

    The U.S. pivot to the Asia-Pacific has created both tension and opportunity in its relations with China.

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  • March 21, 2012 Washington, D.C.
    Assessing the National People's Congress

    The Fifth Session of the Eleventh National People’s Congress (NPC) has added significance given the impending anointment of China's next generation of senior leaders at this fall's National Congress of the Communist Party.

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  • November 30, 2011 Washington, D.C.
    America's Challenge: Engaging a Rising China in the Twenty-First Century

    As the world's predominant political, economic, and military force, the United States faces a significant challenge in responding to China's rising power and influence, especially in Asia.

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  • February 28, 2011 Beijing
    President Hu’s Recent State Visit to the United States and its Impact on the US.-China Relationship

    President Hu Jintao’s visit to the United States provides the Chinese leadership with a crucial opportunity to connect with the American public and reach important policy decisions at the highest levels of American and Chinese leadership.

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  • January 13, 2011 Washington, D.C.
    U.S.-China Relations at a Crossroads: Briefing on Hu Jintao's State Visit

    For President Hu Jintao's state visit, a host of economic, political, and security issues top the agenda, including China's growth strategy, accusations of currency manipulation, territorial water rights, and North Korea.

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  • October 13, 2010 Washington, D.C.
    Deputy Secretary Steinberg on U.S. Policy Toward Asia

    With disputes in the South China Sea and potential succession in North Korea, a great deal of speculation exists as to how the United States will position itself in the region.

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Source: http://carnegieendowment.org/experts/index.cfm?fa=expert_view&expert_id=119

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